Wanted: Some courage

blog_icon_lion.jpgYou know all that talk we were hearing from economists that the “green shoots” of economic recovery were finally being seen in the depths of this recession? Well, those green shoots seem to have been a little illusory.


The best way to track the health of the local economy is to look at the monthly numbers released by the Georgia revenue department. These revenue collection results can tell you very quickly — at a very fundamental level — whether people are actually going to work again (check the individual income tax collections) and whether consumers are starting to buy more products from Target, Walmart, and other retailers (see the sales tax totals).

The revenue department tally for July, the first month of fiscal year 2010, was very discouraging: overall revenues were down by 9.6 percent from the figures reported for July 2008. Sales tax collections declined by 9.7 percent, individual income taxes were down by 8.4 percent and motor fuel taxes declined by 17.9 percent (an indication that fewer people, including tourists, are driving their vehicles across this great state).

Economic recovery? Not here, not now. Those July numbers are only the latest declines in a year of bad economic news for Georgia. State revenue collections were down by 14.3 percent in January, 34.8 percent in February, 14.5 percent in March, 20.6 percent in April, 14.4 percent in May and 15.7 percent in June.

It appears that state revenues could decline by 10 percent or more in the coming fiscal year since we have a recession that shows no signs of slowing, at least in Georgia. Because the state budget passed by the General Assembly and signed by the governor assumes that revenues will be collected at a higher rate, that means we already have a serious budget deficit that will only get worse as the months go by.

Faced with a situation like this, you would normally expect the legislative leadership to call for a special session of the General Assembly to either adjust tax rates or cut spending in various state programs. In fact, the Georgia constitution quite clearly spells out that the official state budget must be introduced in the House of Representatives, passed by majority vote of the House and Senate, and then sent to the governor for his signature or veto.

Interestingly, the General Assembly leadership (for the moment) has decided it will just ignore that constitutional requirement for the legislative branch to be involved in determining what the state budget will be. There’s been no call for a special session, because lawmakers aren’t going to approve a tax increase with an election year on the horizon and they don’t want to get criticism from their constituents about the fact that even more budget cuts are coming in areas like education, transportation and healthcare.

No, the easiest way around this political dilemma is for the General Assembly to simply turn over its constitutional authority to modify the budget to the executive branch and let Gov. Sonny Perdue (who can’t run for another term) make the budget cuts and take the heat from the citizens.

That’s a real profile in courage for you.

One of the few real powers the General Assembly has is the power to draft the budget. How many times have you heard one of our lawmakers say to a TV reporter during a legislative session, “We oughta just pass a budget and go on home”? Now they don’t even want to perform that basic task.

Here’s a suggestion that will make life even easier for our elected legislators: since some of you have evidently decided to cede your authority (and your reason for existence) to the executive branch, you should go ahead and adopt a resolution next January dissolving the General Assembly as a governing body. That would clear the decks for the passage of a new state constitution officially declaring Georgia to be a monarchy. Really, what’s the difference?


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2 responses to “Wanted: Some courage”

  1. J.M. Prince Avatar
    J.M. Prince

    Cites for the above stats here:(In passing):

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/robert-creamer/new-economic-data-shows-t_b_259540.html

    “New Economic Data Shows that Right Wing Economic Theory Is Simply Wrong”.

    ” Even as Republicans blather on about the evils of a so-called “government takeover of health care,” economic news has provided two new key illustrations that the intellectual foundation of right-wing economic orthodoxy has collapsed.

    First, the most recent economic numbers on changes in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and employment made it increasingly clear that — as The New York Times reported last Saturday — the Obama economic stimulus and the massive government intervention in the financial markets were the critical medicine needed to prevent complete economic collapse.

    It is now clear that, left to their own devices, there can be no doubt that private financial markets would have pulled the entire economy into another Great Depression. Though job losses continued, last month they continued to shrink from their massive January highs. At the same time, the contraction of the GDP dropped to its lowest level since Lehman Brothers collapsed last September.

    Even as the right continues to rail against the Obama stimulus package, there is now near-universal consensus that the $700-billion-plus stimulus bill is largely responsible for beefing up the GDP in the last quarter. Studies by the private research firms IHS Global Insight and MoodysEconomy.com concluded that it is already responsible for saving 500,000 jobs.

    Everyday there is fresh evidence that government spending to stimulate demand was critically necessary to pull the country out of the economic tail spin caused by the reckless risk-taking of essentially unregulated private financial markets. Contrary to right wing theory, private consumer demand and new business investment are not leading the way out of the Great Recession — in reality, government demand was an absolute necessity.

    But the second piece of economic news tells even more about the bankruptcy of right wing economic thought. Throughout the heyday of Reagan’s “supply side revolution” and Bush’s tax cuts, the Republicans and the right wing intellectual establishment have hung fast to their foundational belief that tax cuts for business would create private sector jobs.

    Well, the great experiment in “trickle down” economics is over and the results are in. The New York Times reports that, “For the first time since the Depression, the American economy has added virtually no jobs in the private sector over a 10-year period. The total number of jobs has grown a bit, but that is only because of government hiring.”

    In fact, since George Bush and the Republicans in Congress passed two massive tax cuts, we have seen a massive, secular decline in the creation of private sector jobs.

    Of course it won’t surprise anyone that this decline has been led by the reduction of American manufacturing jobs. There has been a decline of 3.7% in overall manufacturing jobs in the United States over the last decade….”

    JMP

  2. J.M. Prince Avatar
    J.M. Prince

    Reality: Somewhere between 200K & 350K Net Private Sector jobs have been produced in the last decade. Under the ebbil Mr. Clinton, well that was a monthly stat, with 23 Million new Jobs created during his tenure. So the wonders of the ‘Laissez Faire/ Free Market’ ideology at work under Bush produced mainly ZIPPO. Oh and 95% of all the income gains in the same period went to the richest quintile of taxpayers, the top 5%. Everything’s working just fine for them, mostly. JMP

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